Prediction tweak: Last week, I predicted the following outcome for tomorrow’s presidential election:

Popular vote: Bush 52%, Kerry 48%
Electoral vote: Bush 291, Kerry 247

After obsessing over the data for too much time, I’ve decided to slightly tweak my prediction and shift five more electoral votes to Bush while not changing the popular vote.
My new prediction:

Popular vote: Bush 52%, Kerry 48%
Electoral vote: Bush 296, Kerry 242

To add substance to this prediction (and to give the seven readers of this weblog something to taunt me about if I’m off — as if they needed a reason), here are states I believe Bush will win: Florida, Iowa, New Mexico, Ohio and Wisconsin.

I don’t think Bush can be elected without winning Florida. However, as noted, I believe he’ll win the state.

This is only a prediction. No wagering please.

Election day resources: The amazingly resourceful Gary Price (ResourceShelf) offers “a few reference resources for Election Day 2004” for the hopelessly obsessed (like me). Here are some (check out his entire list):

List of Election Day Poll Hours by State

Direct Links to Election Information for 50 States and the District of Columbia (via National Association of State Election Directors)

Some states will offer results throughout the evening. If you can’t find what you need on these pages, try going directly to the Sec. of State homepage.

Also, Tara Calishain (ResearchBuzz) has collected on one page the links to all the states’ election results.

Update: Laura, who’s obviously been busy cracking whips, notes also there is plenty of good information regarding all the elections, especially for small business owners, at NFIB.com/politics.

Endangered reporters: Again, just because advertising on the Internet is improving, it does not mean that magazines are endangered. Even if some trade magazines go away (as thousands of titles close each year), magazines will be with us for a long, long time. Again, Internet advertising gains are good, wonderful, exciting. However, if a reporter can’t provide specific data (rather than hunches or anecdotes or statistics-for-dummies logic), he or she will only provide yet another example of why “professional” journalists are more in jeopardy than magazines.

Quote:

For advertisers, too, online offers advantages that print cannot: precise tracking of adverts, including which stories they are linked to. Ms Hazlitt says: “It’s so much more precise than magazines, where you get biannual ABC [circulation] figures that are out of date before you see them.”

As I have said before, when I see people decorating their coffee tables with print-outs of a website, I’ll be ready to say that comparing websites to magazines is something other than comparing apples with cumquats.

(via: PaidContent.org [Speaking of PaidContent.org, I'd like to send out a public congratulations to Rafat on his multi-continental wedding. I've known about it a while, but haven't seen him mention it publicly -- I'm sure I just missed it.])

How Time & Newsweek will handle election deadlines: Interesting piece in today’s NY Daily News regarding how the major newsweeklies are planning for a close race and inconclusive finish. (via: iwantmedia.com)

A negative campaign? Not really: USA Today’s Walter Shapiro attempts to provide some historical context for those whose lack of knowledge of history leads them to declare this one, “the most negative ever.” Not even close, says Shapiro. (via: instapundit.com)