Evaluating the prognostications of political pundits

Evaluating the prognostications of political pundits: (From the WSJ.com’s Numbers Guy (free feature):

“You’re generally better off handing darts to a chimp than trusting the musings of a professional prognosticator.”

Also, another observation about reporters and pundits (and bloggers?):

“…people with expertise in explaining events that have happened aren’t very successful at predicting what will happen.”

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