December 13th, 2006

Speaking of iTunes Store downloads, that reminds me: My Country Roots, the book by my friends Alice Randall and brothers Carter and Courtney Little that I’ve mentioned here is a creative and fun compendium of playlists of country music songs, now has a companion website. It links each of the 1,300 songs appearing on one of the lists to its iTunes location for easy download (that is, if you still download songs there). Here’s a list of the playlist topics, from abuse and bad mamas all the way to rednecks (which includes a very not-country song from the Ben Folds Five) and waitresses.

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Before I start on this one, let’s get one thing straight: I don’t care how many songs are sold on iTunes. I think you’re better off buying CDs and burning them to your computer. Sure, I use the service — a lot — but what I’m about to do is a rant against absurd reporting, not a defense of the success (or lack-thereof) of the Apple iTunes Store.

Yesterday, I pointed out how a statistics-challenged reporter had mangled the extrapolation of a model-challenged analysis that included the logic-defying claim that iTunes sales dropped by 65% in the first half of 2006. As I’ve said here ad nauseum, giving reporters statistics is like handing a loaded pistol to a three-year-old. (Actually, I haven’t said that, but things like that.) The notion that iTunes sales could have dropped by 65% and a Forrester analyst would be the person to uncover it (and not, for example, being discovered by record companies screaming over why their revenues from Apple had fallen by 65%) is enough to make your BS-dar ping. Despite the dubious nature of the statistic, so-called news services picked it up.

Which brings me to Robert Scoble.

Recently, Robert Scoble introduced what I dubbed the “Scoble 24-hour Rule”: ” Never expect bloggers to do fact checking or original reporting. But if a blog (post) survives 24-hours without anyone refuting the facts? That’s when rumors turn to belief.”

Well, Apple responded: (via: BBC) “Apple has denied a report which claims US sales at its iTunes Music Store fell by 65% in the first half of 2006.”

Update: (via Matt Ingram) The Forrester analyst blogs his surprise that reporters would not understand the nuance of his research and jump to the red-meat he threw them. Note to anyone who is going to ever release a study, survey or analysis: Here’s a point to a long-ago post called, “why you should ignore all news stories involving numbers.”

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Wired magazine editor Chris Anderson asks, “What would radical transparency mean for Wired?” (In the spirit of things, let me guess transparently that “radical transparency” will be the title of his next book). Chris doesn’t promise that Wired will do all or even most of them, but he has some suggestions for what a transparent magazine organization (the edit-side) would be. I don’t usually say this, but this is a must-read for those of you in the magazine industry. Several parts of it, you’ll dismiss outright — especially if you think of magazines only as the finished product this is displayed on the newstand. However, what if the process is content or, what if process is king? What if Reddit (now owned by CondeNast) is used before a story is published to help determine its value and relevance to readers, rather than afterwards for commentary and reaction?

Chris is not suggesting that writing and editing be turned over to a crowd (as I’ve noted before regarding a Wired.com attempt at that, it’s not a pretty thing) — but story context, framing, fact gathering and feedback can be fueled by the community. In the end, the physical magazine’s value and quality will be measured by additional factors related to aesthetics and writing and editing — all factors that do not threaten the creative and journalistic talent of those people who currently do those things. However, they will need to learn how to collaborate with their readers — how to dance with them — how to not relegate them to a ‘panel.”

People who read this blog — and Chris’s — will likely love this stuff. They will understand intuitively that none of this is a threat to the value proposition of magazines, rather these are ways to enhance the value of “trusted brands.” But I can make a fairly informed prediction that most traditional magazine people will dismiss Chris’s open approach as unwise (why would we let competitors know what we’re working on? Our job as editors is to tell our readers what is important, not for them to tell us, blah, blah.) But Chris (and others, like BusinessWeek’s Steve Baker and Heather Green and Dan Gilmore ) have unique perspectives on the “open approach” because they’ve actually been through the development of cover stories and books in an open environment in which readers participated. I believe their experience reveals that the sub-group of individuals who will participate in the development of a story or book will not ruin it, but will serve as evangelists for it — they helped create it.

As for wikifying everything. It should come as no surprise that I believe every blog and magazine and book should be accompanied by a wiki: a growing repository of links and descriptions and resources related to the topic.

Chris’ suggestions may sound radical, but I think in five years, they will seem rather ordinary. For a current example of a print magazine that is published in a radically transparent way, check out my favorite example: JPG Magazine. However, they even have editors and designers running things. This is not a threat, people. It’s an opportunity.

Update: Scott Karp: “Chris sounds like he’s hot on the trail of real innovation, rather than pablum ideology.”

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Susan Mernit points to a product that is spreading virally across the YouTubeosphere. These things are going to be harder to get than a PS3 — which is good. But I don’t think the nickname, Rex the Humper is that great. However, thanks, I guess, to the people who thought of (and e-mailed) me when they saw it.

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December 13th, 2006